Australian Covid-19 vaccine rollout is accelerating and case numbers too
Everything is accelerating
Australia’s vaccination for Covid-19 is accelerating and so are Covid cases in New South Wales, with Australia's largest state population.
Australia was slow to begin Covid vaccinations, by first world standards. Israel started in January of 2020. Now Australia is playing catch-up. This process has become urgent, as Australia's zero cases policy was punctured by a breakout of cases in NSW in July. Case numbers in mid-August in NSW have exceeded 400 a day, and still show no signs of slowing.
Daily average full vaccinations in Australia exceeded 0.4% of the population in mid August. In other words, every two days, almost one more percent of the total population is fully vaccinated against the virus. At this rate, the country will reach its target of exceeding 65% of the total population being vaccinated by mid November. This is roughly equivalent to 80% of the adult population, a key benchmark. At that point, lockdowns and most restriction should ease. If the rate of vaccination continues to accelerate, then greater freedom of movement may arrive in October, currently two months away. The faster vaccination scenario is shown in pale green shadow on the chart.
There is reported vaccine hesitancy among 11% of population. This number will not greatly change the vaccination outcome.
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